{"id":505,"date":"2024-03-25T09:24:33","date_gmt":"2024-03-25T06:24:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/?p=505"},"modified":"2024-03-25T09:24:35","modified_gmt":"2024-03-25T06:24:35","slug":"yonetici-ozeti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/?p=505","title":{"rendered":"Y\u00d6NET\u0130C\u0130 \u00d6ZET\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu rapor \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Lise Devam Oran\u0131n\u0131n Art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u015eartl\u0131 Nakit Transferinin (\u015eartl\u0131 E\u011fitim Yard\u0131m\u0131) Etkisinin G\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi (\u015eNT II) Teknik Yard\u0131m Projesinin\u201d M\u00fcdahale 3.2 bile\u015feni \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de gelecekteki Sosyal Yard\u0131m\/\u015eNT talebini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmek amac\u0131yla haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu projede T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de yoksullukla m\u00fccadele amac\u0131yla devlet taraf\u0131ndan sa\u011flanan \u015eartl\u0131 Nakit Transferi (\u015eNT) program\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olan \u015eartl\u0131 E\u011fitim Yard\u0131m\u0131 (\u015eEY) talebi incelenmi\u015ftir. \u015eEY program\u0131, sosyal g\u00fcvencesi olmayan ve ihtiya\u00e7 sahibi ailelere, \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n\u0131n e\u011fitime devam etmeleri \u015fart\u0131yla yap\u0131lan yard\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7erir. \u015eEY\u2019in temel ama\u00e7lar\u0131; okulla\u015fma oranlar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmak, b\u00f6ylece be\u015fer\u00ee sermayeyi iyile\u015ftirerek kalk\u0131nmaya katk\u0131da bulunmakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u015eEY talebini belirleyen de\u011fi\u015fkenleri tespit etmek amac\u0131yla nitel ve nicel y\u00f6ntem olmak \u00fczere karma desenli ara\u015ft\u0131rma y\u00f6ntemi kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130lk a\u015famada \u015eEY program\u0131n\u0131n faydalan\u0131c\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fcksek olan ve b\u00f6lgesel temsili sa\u011flayan 12 \u015fehir se\u00e7ilmi\u015ftir. Her bir \u015fehirde \u015eEY uygulamas\u0131nda g\u00f6rev alan veya uygulay\u0131c\u0131 akt\u00f6r olan kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015ftaylar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. \u00c7al\u0131\u015ftaylarda ilk olarak \u015eEY program\u0131na olan mevcut talebi olu\u015fturan fakt\u00f6rlere y\u00f6nelik kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri \u00f6\u011frenilmi\u015ftir. B\u00f6ylelikle g\u00fcncel olarak \u015eEY talebini belirleyen kavramlara dair bir tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Sonras\u0131nda ise \u015eEY\u2019e talebi artt\u0131rabilecek veya azaltabilecek sosyal, ekonomik, demografik ve k\u00fclt\u00fcrel olgulara dair kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n fikirleri sorulmu\u015ftur. Bu olgular\u0131n k\u0131sa, orta ve uzun vadede olu\u015fabilecek risklerle e\u015fle\u015ftirilmesi istenmi\u015ftir. \u015eEY\u2019e y\u00f6nelik talebin hem mevcut durumda hem de gelece\u011fe dair de\u011fi\u015fkenleri belirlemeleri, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n deneyim ve g\u00f6zlemlerine dayand\u0131r\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca her bir \u015fehrin kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc sosyoekonomik \u00f6zellikleri de de\u011ferlendirmede dikkate al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015ftaylarda kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine g\u00f6re \u015eEY talebini mevcut durumda belirleyen ba\u015fl\u0131ca fakt\u00f6rler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Muhta\u00e7l\u0131k<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u0130\u015fsizlik<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Engellilik<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hane kompozisyonu<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>E\u011fitim d\u00fczeyi<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Faydalan\u0131lan sosyal yard\u0131m program say\u0131s\u0131<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u015feklindedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gelecek d\u00f6nemde \u015eEY talebine y\u00f6nelik de\u011ferlendirmelerde ise talebi artt\u0131racak unsurlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, talebi azaltacak unsurlar da vurgulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u015eehirlere g\u00f6re talepte etkili olabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen sosyoekonomik de\u011fi\u015fkenler farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi gibi 12 \u015fehirde talebe y\u00f6nelik ortak de\u011fi\u015fkenler ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu de\u011fi\u015fkenler;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Madde kullan\u0131m oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Su\u00e7 oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bo\u015fanma oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tek ebeveynli hane oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>G\u00f6\u00e7 oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Yard\u0131m miktar\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Yard\u0131m programlar\u0131n\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>E\u011fitim d\u00fczeyi (Net okulla\u015fma oran\u0131, y\u00fcksek\u00f6\u011fretim mezun say\u0131s\u0131)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>E\u011fitim d\u00fczeyi<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u0130stihdam oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c7ocuk i\u015f\u00e7ili\u011fi oran\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Enflasyon<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hane kompozisyonu<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u015feklinde belirtilmi\u015ftir. Nitel s\u00f6z dizilimlerinden de\u011fi\u015fkenlere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclen olu\u015fturulan bu g\u00f6stergeler, ekonomi, aile yap\u0131s\u0131 (bo\u015fanm\u0131\u015f, tek ebeveynli, b\u00fcy\u00fckanne\/b\u00fcy\u00fckbaba yan\u0131nda kalan \u00e7ocuk say\u0131s\u0131) ve e\u011fitim g\u00f6stergeleriyle temsil edilebilir. Bu de\u011fi\u015fkeleri nicel analizde kullan\u0131labilmesi i\u00e7in yoksulluk endeksi, insani geli\u015fmi\u015flik endeksi, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ve n\u00fcfus kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n nicel ara\u015ft\u0131rma y\u00f6ntemi kullan\u0131larak y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen k\u0131sm\u0131nda ise T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de gelecekteki \u015eEY talebini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in \u00e7e\u015fitli istatistiksel modeller kullan\u0131larak kapsaml\u0131 bir analiz yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Proje, \u015eEY&#8217;e olan talebi 2025, 2030, 2035 ve 2040 y\u0131llar\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeyi ama\u00e7lam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Analizlerde, zaman serisi verileri ve \u00e7e\u015fitli tek ve \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fkenli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modelleri kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u015eEY\u2019e olan talep \u015fartl\u0131 e\u011fitim yard\u0131m\u0131na ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 ile \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. \u015eEY talep verileri 2013 Temmuz \u2013 2023 Ekim d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in ayl\u0131k olarak T.C. Aile ve Sosyal Hizmetler Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019ndan temin edilmi\u015ftir. Modellemede \u015eEY ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 do\u011frudan kullan\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f olup, 1 milyon n\u00fcfus ba\u015f\u0131na \u015eEY ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2014-2022 d\u00f6neminde \u015eEY ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 belirgin bir e\u011filim i\u00e7ermemekte, zaman boyunca ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 de\u011fer olarak nispeten zaman eksenine paralel bir davran\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermektedir. Bu nedenle, ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan a\u00e7\u0131klanan de\u011fi\u015fken olarak modellenmesi, anlaml\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fken olmamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilecektir. Bu durum, \u00f6zellikle bir zaman serisi regresyon modeli olarak kurulan ve bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada da \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan ARDL ve benzeri modellerde bir sorun olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. Ancak ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6receli olarak zaman boyunca nispeten statik kalmakla birlikte, n\u00fcfus ba\u015f\u0131na ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bir dinamikli\u011fi s\u00f6z konusudur. Bu nedenle, ba\u015fvuru talebinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc de\u011ferleri dolayl\u0131 olarak milyon n\u00fcfus ba\u015f\u0131na ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanan de\u011fi\u015fken olarak al\u0131nmas\u0131yla elde edilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n metodolojisinde, tek de\u011fi\u015fkenli ve \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fkenli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modelleri kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol style=\"list-style-type:lower-roman\">\n<li>Tek de\u011fi\u015fkenli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modelleri<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Otoregresif B\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fik Hareketli Ortalama (ARIMA)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c7ok Katmanl\u0131 Alg\u0131lay\u0131c\u0131 Yapay Sinir A\u011f\u0131 (MLP)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c7ok de\u011fi\u015fkenli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modelleri<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Gecikmesi Da\u011f\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Otoregresif Model (ARDL)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Tek de\u011fi\u015fkenli modellere alternatif olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirmesi beklenen iki hibrit model daha ele al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r: CEEMDAN-ARIMA ve CEEMDAN-MLP. T\u00fcm modellerin kestirim performans\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesinde RMSE, MAE ve MAPE kriterleri kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcm \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modellerinde n\u00fcfus ba\u015f\u0131na \u015eEY ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 serisi 2013:07-2021:09 aras\u0131 d\u00f6nem e\u011fitim verisi, geriye kalan 2021:10-2023:10 aras\u0131 d\u00f6nem test verisi olmak \u00fczere 2 par\u00e7aya ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve test verisi kullan\u0131larak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modellerinin performans\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7ok de\u011fi\u015fkenli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modeli ARDL\u2019de Sen-Shorrocks-Thon (SST) yoksulluk endeksi, \u0130nsani Geli\u015fme Endeksi (\u0130GE) ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fkenler olarak modele dahil edilmi\u015ftir. \u00dc\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fken i\u00e7in de hibrit CEEMDAN-ARIMA modeli ile 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar projeksiyonlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analiz sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, tek de\u011fi\u015fkenli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modellerinden hibrit CEEMDAN-MLP modeli RMSE, MAE ve MAPE kriterine g\u00f6re en iyi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc performans\u0131na sahiptir (<strong>Tablo 7<\/strong>). MAPE de\u011feri dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda CEEMDAN-MLP modelinin MLP modeline g\u00f6re \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 %7.69 daha y\u00fcksektir. Bu sonu\u00e7 hibrit modellerin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc performans\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisini do\u011frulamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan, \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fkenli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc modellerinden ARDL modeli, yani SST, \u0130GE ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fkenlerin a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fken olarak yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 model en iyi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc performans\u0131na sahip modeldir. MAPE kriterine dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n yer almad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ARDL-1 modeline g\u00f6re ARDL-2 modelinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 %11.86 oran\u0131nda iyile\u015fmektedir. Bu sonu\u00e7 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n \u015eNT talebi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir etkiye sahip oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u015eEY ba\u015fvuru talebi \u00fc\u00e7 senaryo alt\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu senaryolar normal, alt ve \u00fcst olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Senaryolar i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler en iyi performansa sahip CEEMDAN-MLP ile birlikte de\u011fi\u015fkenler aras\u0131ndaki yap\u0131sal ili\u015fkiye dayanan ve yine \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc performans\u0131 olduk\u00e7a tatmin edici olan ARDL i\u00e7in de verilmi\u015ftir. Her bir senaryo n\u00fcfus ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 i\u00e7in ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. Normal senaryoda \u015eEY\u2019e olan talep \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri medyan n\u00fcfus ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 i\u00e7in nokta tahmin de\u011ferleri kullan\u0131larak yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Alt ve \u00fcst senaryolarda ise n\u00fcfusun ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n kestirim aral\u0131klar\u0131 kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>N\u00fcfus bazl\u0131 senaryolar sonucunda, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u015eEY ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n alt senaryoda 420 bin ki\u015fiye, normal senaryoda 441 bin ki\u015fiye ve \u00fcst senaryoda ise 463 bin ki\u015fiye ula\u015fmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 bazl\u0131 senaryolar sonucunda 2040 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u015eEY ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n alt senaryoda 337 bin ki\u015fiye, normal senaryoda 479 bin ki\u015fiye ve \u00fcst senaryoda ise 680 bin ki\u015fiye ula\u015fmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hem n\u00fcfus hem de i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n birlikte ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 senaryolar i\u00e7in 2040 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u015eEY ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n alt senaryoda 320 bin ki\u015fiye, normal senaryoda 478 bin ki\u015fiye ve \u00fcst senaryoda ise 713 bin ki\u015fiye \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak, bu projenin bulgular\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki \u015eEY program\u0131n\u0131n etkinli\u011fini art\u0131rmak ve gelecekteki talep art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na veya azal\u0131\u015flar\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bilgiler sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r. H\u00fck\u00fcmet ve ilgili kurumlar, bu analizleri kullanarak sosyal yard\u0131m politikalar\u0131n\u0131 ve kaynak da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 daha etkin bir \u015fekilde planlayabilir ve uygulayabilirler. Nitel ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonucunda elde edilen bulgularda da ekonomik ve sosyal g\u00f6stergeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan i\u015fsizlik, istihdam ve n\u00fcfus yap\u0131s\u0131 kavramlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015eEY talebinde belirleyici oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu ba\u011flamda,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Sosyal yard\u0131m faydalan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u015eEY talebine y\u00f6nelik ilgisinde i\u015fsizlik ve istihdam \u00f6zellikleri belirleyici oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in hane \u00fcyelerinin i\u015f ve meslek profilleri olu\u015fturulmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mevcut durumda \u0130\u015eKUR ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen sosyal yard\u0131m faydalan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n istihdama y\u00f6nlendirilmesi s\u00fcreci, hanenin yard\u0131ma muhta\u00e7 duymayacak \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilerek y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmelidir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u015eEY faydalan\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olabilmek i\u00e7in hanede sosyal g\u00fcvence bulunmamas\u0131 \u015fart\u0131, yard\u0131m ve istihdam aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011flant\u0131da sorun olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Gelecek d\u00f6nemde yararlanma kriterlerinin ayn\u0131 kalmas\u0131 durumunda yard\u0131m talebini belirleyecek olan de\u011fi\u015fkenlerden birisinin kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam oran\u0131 olmas\u0131 beklendi\u011fi i\u00e7in istihdam ve \u015eEY aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011f g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmelidir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u015eEY talebini de artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi, \u015eEY d\u00e2hil olmak \u00fczere sosyal yard\u0131m programlar\u0131ndan faydalan\u0131c\u0131 hanelerde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilecek durumda olan hane \u00fcyelerinin i\u015fe y\u00f6nlendirmelerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra istihdam s\u00fcreci uzun d\u00f6nemli izlenmelidir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>N\u00fcfus yap\u0131s\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda hanelerin kompozisyonu, su\u00e7 oran\u0131, madde ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131, yard\u0131m alma al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, sa\u011fl\u0131k g\u00f6stergeleri ve e\u011fitim d\u00fczeyi gibi farkl\u0131 ve \u00e7e\u015fitli g\u00f6stergelerin \u015eEY talebini etkilemesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bu nedenle, \u00f6zellikle \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n \u00f6zne oldu\u011fu \u015eEY gibi sosyal yard\u0131m programlar\u0131nda hane b\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl olarak ve sosyal hizmetler arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla izlenmeli ve desteklenmelidir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tek ebeveynli hane say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve bo\u015fanma oran\u0131, orta ve uzun vadede \u015eEY talebine yans\u0131mas\u0131 beklendi\u011finden yard\u0131mdan faydalanan hanelerdeki ebeveynler i\u00e7in aile e\u011fitimleri \u00f6nerilmektedir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u015eEY faydalan\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olan ve bir\u00e7ok sosyal yard\u0131m program\u0131ndan uzun s\u00fcreli faydalanan hanelere \u00f6zel sosyoekonomik \u00f6zelliklerin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek uygulamalara ihtiya\u00e7 bulunmaktad\u0131r. \u015eEY talebini artt\u0131ran ve artt\u0131rmas\u0131 beklenen unsur olarak ifade edilen sosyal yard\u0131mlardan faydalanma al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, yoksullu\u011fu bir aile i\u00e7in uzun s\u00fcreli kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u00f6zellik haline getirmektedir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u015eEY miktar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n bu yard\u0131m program\u0131na olan talebi de y\u00fckseltece\u011fine dair bir ortak bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bu yard\u0131m miktar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan ziyade \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n okulla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 kolayla\u015ft\u0131racak e\u015fik de\u011ferin bulunmas\u0131na dair \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yap\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mevcut durumda \u015eEY faydalan\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olan hanelerde ebeveynlerin e\u011fitim d\u00fczeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Ailelerin e\u011fitime dair fark\u0131ndal\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesinin uzun vadede \u015eEY talebini azaltaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bunun i\u00e7in \u015eEY kriterlerine ailelere belirli aral\u0131klarla yard\u0131m\u0131n i\u00e7eri\u011fi ve \u00f6nemiyle ilgili bilgilendirme yap\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u015eEY talebini azaltmas\u0131 beklenen unsur olarak ifade edilen \u015fehirlerde sanayi ve turizm sekt\u00f6rlerindeki geli\u015fme \u00e7ocuk i\u015f\u00e7ili\u011fi sorununu da beraberinde getirmektedir. Alt gelirli veya akademik e\u011fitim yerine mesleki e\u011fitimi tercih eden ailelerin \u00e7ocuklar\u0131 MESEM\u2019lere y\u00f6nlendirilmelidir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hane \u00fcyelerinin sa\u011fl\u0131k g\u00f6stergeleri, hane gelirini ve refah d\u00fczeyini etkiledi\u011fi i\u00e7in dolayl\u0131 olarak bu durum \u015eEY talebine yans\u0131maktad\u0131r. Kronik hastal\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan, bak\u0131ma muhta\u00e7, ya\u015fl\u0131 ve\/veya engelli bireyin oldu\u011fu hanelerin mevcut durumda \u015eEY\u2019e y\u00f6nelik ilgisi y\u00fcksektir. Gelecek d\u00f6nemde de sa\u011fl\u0131k g\u00f6stergeleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k d\u00fczeyi y\u00fcksek olan hanelerin \u015eEY talebini artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne dayanarak bu hanelerdeki k\u0131r\u0131lgan \u00f6zellikteki bireylerin sa\u011fl\u0131kla ilgili t\u00fcm s\u00fcre\u00e7leri izlenmelidir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bu rapor \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Lise Devam Oran\u0131n\u0131n Art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u015eartl\u0131 Nakit Transferinin (\u015eartl\u0131 E\u011fitim Yard\u0131m\u0131) Etkisinin G\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi (\u015eNT II) Teknik Yard\u0131m Projesinin\u201d M\u00fcdahale 3.2 bile\u015feni \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de<span class=\"excerpt-hellip\"> [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/505"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=505"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/505\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":506,"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/505\/revisions\/506"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=505"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=505"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/snt2projesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=505"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}